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Considered one of our readers who has despatched alongside nice, eye-popping Tesla milestones over the previous a number of years simply mailed in one other sequence of updates on Tesla progress. Observe that Rajan has continued to ship in optimistic Tesla milestones even prior to now 12 months, when many former Tesla followers might now not cheerlead the corporate. He’s not usually one to choose on Tesla or convey up something detrimental concerning the firm. Although, on this case, the replace comes with extra issues or failures than highlights.
“Listed here are 8 Cybertruck dates and whereas the primary 2 are optimistic, the subsequent 6 will not be,” Rajan writes. “A lot of the 2.2 million reservation holders would have gotten the refund by now.”
Earlier than attending to a few of his different notes on what might flip issues round for the Cybertruck, let’s run by the 8 key dates he highlighted:
So, I feel the important thing level right here is that Tesla already rolled by all of its Cybertruck “reservations” within the US — in just below a 12 months. Tesla was imagined to have some loopy variety of reservations for the Cybertruck (as Rajan notes, 2.2 million), however as of early October, when solely about 30,000 Cybertrucks had been delivered, Tesla was already permitting folks to order with no reservation and indicating they’d obtain their vans in simply 4–6 weeks!
It is a massive dent within the hype that the Cybertruck was going to be a giant disruptive drive within the US truck market, hype that I’ll admit I pushed for some time. Although, I do assume there are some clear causes for the failure. The truck prices much more than it was initially imagined to value and has loads much less vary than it was initially imagined to have. Whenever you reduce the vary in half and improve the value by tens of 1000’s of {dollars}, you possibly can anticipate reservation holders gained’t be thrilled and can go up on their alternative to purchase the car.
A number of the more moderen updates indicate a have to fire up extra demand for the truck. The lease value was reduce 4 weeks in the past, the price of a particular wrap (as an alternative of chrome steel) was reduce a few weeks in the past and Tesla reportedly began rubbing off the Basis sequence badges of unsold Basis sequence vans as a way to promote them as lower-trim autos at decrease value (a detrimental story we determined to skip), and now for those who purchase a Tesla Cybertruck Basis sequence, you get lifetime free Supercharging (perhaps I can buy one now and run it into the bottom as a taxi residing off of free Supercharging).
As famous on the prime, Rajan has some concepts for the way Tesla might flip issues round. Let’s get to these now.
“Ideally Tesla can launch the promised 6 seater model that will probably be good for household of 4 to drive sometimes with the grand-parents. Most pickups have 6 seater model,” he wrote. He additionally famous that folks shopping for an $80,000 product would usually like a selection of coloration, so maybe Tesla ought to simply provide the wraps freed from cost — or for not more than $1,000 further.
Ah, properly, that’s the tip of the strategies. I believed there was extra initially, however what extra might flip issues round? Tesla might drive down manufacturing prices and drop the value, theoretically. It might additionally obtain a battery breakthrough and double the vary … theoretically. In any other case, it’s arduous to be optimistic concerning the Cybertruck in the intervening time. It’s not turning out as hyped or hoped. I feel even many individuals who just like the car have determined it’s not for them resulting from value and vary. If gross sales stay low within the coming 12 months, although, would Elon Musk do what he stated years in the past he’d do if the Cybertruck bombed — design and promote a extra regular trying pickup truck?
Thanks once more to Rajan for his excellent monitoring. I assume the subsequent replace from him will probably be one thing extra optimistic.

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