Clots and vaccines
March 15, 2021 by ferniglab
Blood clots, for instance, deep vein thromboses or pulmonary embolisms, are severe and we must always rightly be involved about these. With ~ 17 M doses of the AZ vaccine delivered into individuals, we have now studies of 15 instances of deep vein thrombosis and 22 instances of pulmonary embolism. Deep vein thrombosis happens at fee of 0.1% (so 1 in 1000) throughout all age teams, growing with age. So every single day meaning round 47 instances in a inhabitants of 17 million – in truth will probably be extra, as a result of these vaccinated will not be consultant of the inhabitants, however an older section.
If we take into account that vaccination has been occurring at a excessive fee for a little bit over 2 months, then we count on a minimum of 2,800 instances of deep vein thrombosis.
We are able to draw some restricted conclusions concerning clots, the AZ and different vaccines.
- The reporting mechanism could also be very, very poor, and solely a fraction of affected person outcomes are reported. That is in stark distinction to a scientific trial, the place ALL outcomes re reported – recall that one poor particular person on the Pfizer/BioNT trial was killed by a lightening strike, and within the AZ trial there have been 2 deaths within the vaccination group and 4 within the placebo group. These and different deaths had been unrelated to the vaccine.
Selective reporting results in fantasy.
- Reporting isn’t so poor, so the correlation is that vaccination protects in opposition to thrombosis. With out realizing the standard of reporting of hostile results and the chance {that a} good many clinicians will take into account many circumstances in vaccinated sufferers to be unrelated to the vaccine, this intriguing chance stays a chance and no extra.
- “Clot”, a minimum of for UK audio system of English has a second which means, akin to the US ‘blockhead’. It could be that the AZ vaccine prompts clots in authorities.
At current the most definitely causal relation is (3). It’s because we have now ample proof impartial of vaccination programmes that show an typically increased focus of clots in authorities and within the higher reaches of many greasy poles than one would count on had been altitude to correlate not directly with capacity.
Word: H/T @archer_rs who jogged my memory that the one vaccine that’s non-profit is the AZ vaccine. The historical past of medication teaches us that the revenue motive results in hiding actual and severe hostile occasions.